• Krista L @KristaLonsdale East Barnet - updated 7d

    Not that Climate change deniers will let it stop them...

    Science Acumen
    A comprehensive study led by Mark Lynas and colleagues examined the vast body of peer-reviewed scientific literature on climate change to assess the level of agreement regarding its primary causes.
    Drawing from a dataset of 88,125 English-language climate-related papers published between 2012 and 2020, the researchers analyzed a random sample of 3,000 studies to determine their positions on whether humans are the main driver of contemporary global warming.
    They categorized abstracts based on explicit or implicit endorsement, rejection, or neutrality toward human causation. The results revealed overwhelming alignment: only four papers in the sample expressed any skepticism or rejection of anthropogenic climate change, yielding a consensus exceeding 99.9% among those taking a position.
    To further validate this, the team searched the entire dataset for keywords associated with skeptical arguments, such as "natural cycles" or "cosmic rays," identifying just 28 such papers overall, all published in lower-impact journals. This scarcity underscores how dissenting views have become virtually nonexistent in rigorous scientific outlets.
    The findings build on earlier consensus estimates, like the widely cited 97% figure from prior reviews, showing the agreement has strengthened as evidence accumulates from observations, modeling, and attribution studies.
    Burning fossil fuels, deforestation, and industrial activities release greenhouse gases that trap heat, altering the climate system in ways natural factors alone cannot explain.
    The authors describe this near-unanimity as closing the case for meaningful debate on human causation, emphasizing that the scientific community stands firmly behind the conclusion that human activities are the dominant force behind ongoing climate change.

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